Likelihood of Snow This Week Increases for Central Jersey & Eastern Pa

There's an increasing likelihood that we could see our first snowflakes of the season on Thursday.

Wait, didn't we JUST turn the air conditioning off in our houses like last week?

Here's what we know about the storm system, which is due to arrive in the area on Thursday:

When? 
The system arrives Thursday morning, and according to many forecasters, there's an increasing likelihood that it could start as a wintry mix (snow, sleet, and freezing rain) in our area.

Exact Timing?
The exact timing of the storm's arrival into our area will be crucial in dictating what kind of precip falls. The sooner it arrives the more likely we are to see snow, sleet, and freezing rain.

The latest computer guidance has trended faster, according to the National Weather Service. They say it could start as early as sunrise Thursday, "meaning less time to warm up with daytime heating."

Will it accumulate? 
The exact track will also play a role in how much snow vs rain we see. However, "temperatures are expected to be too warm in most of the area for any significant or measurable accumulations," according to the National Weather Service.

Whatever precipitation is left in the area later in the day on Thursday, should transition over to rain, according to most forecasts right now (Monday afternoon).

Of course, it's still a few days away, and as Townsquare New Jersey's meteorologist Dan Zarrow notes, "We'll have better answers regarding this system starting Tuesday afternoon (after Storm #1 has passed)."